Trading ideas, signals, and insights for PolyMarket
A magnitude 10.0+ earthquake before 2027 trades at 5% YES with $622K volume on Polymarket. Geological reality says it's never been recorded. Here's what the seismic data shows, why the market exists anyway, and what an edge looks like.
Polymarket has $948K trading at 11% YES on whether SCOTUS takes a sports event contract case by July 31, 2026. The future of US prediction markets hangs on this ruling. Here's the legal pipeline, the bull/bear case, and what traders are missing.
Ukraine joining NATO before 2027 trades at 5% YES with $1.17M volume on Polymarket. The procedural reality, Article 5 implications, and why Russia would view accession as an act of war. Here's the bull/bear case and what traders are missing.
BP is trading at 14% YES on Polymarket with $1.05M volume on a takeover before 2027. Shell, ExxonMobil, and Saudi Aramco are the rumored buyers. Here's the bull/bear case, what would trigger YES, and whether 14% is mispriced.
Lovable is the fastest-growing AI app builder of 2025 with $970K trading at 14% YES on a takeover. Microsoft, Google, Salesforce, and OpenAI are all watching. Here's the bull/bear case, the buyer universe, and what's actually mispriced.
Research-backed Polymarket opportunities: Alphabet over NVIDIA, SpaceX Starship Flight 12, Tesla robotaxis, GPT-6 release, and earthquake frequency. Clear catalysts, official data resolution.
The AI bubble market has $2.25M behind it at 22% probability. Traders are betting there's a meaningful crash in AI valuations before 2026 ends. Here's what would actually trigger it — and what the market might be missing.
Polymarket traders have put $1.8M on a specific geopolitical scenario: China will invade Taiwan before GTA VI launches. The market says 50/50. Here's what's actually driving the odds — and why the question matters more than the answer.
MetaMask — the browser wallet with 30M+ users — is betting on its own token launch by June 30. Polymarket has $1.1M at 6% YES on this. The question isn't whether MetaMask will tokenize — it's whether it happens in the next 6 weeks.
Benjamin Netanyahu has survived 7 elections and countless corruption trials. Polymarket is betting 44% he's gone by December 31, 2026. Here's what the political math actually looks like — and why this might be the moment the coalition finally breaks.
Keir Starmer's approval ratings have collapsed to 16%. Polymarket is betting 34% that he's gone by June 30. That's the highest political risk premium on any Western leader right now. Here's what the market is pricing — and why UK traders are watching it closely.
Ukraine peace is the defining geopolitical scenario of the decade. Polymarket has $646K at 28% YES on a deal before 2027. Here's what would actually have to happen for that — and why 28% might be the most underpriced political market on the board.
GitLab is trading at $1.17M volume with 20% YES on acquisition. The devops space is consolidating fast — Microsoft, Google, and private equity are all shopping. Here's what would trigger the YES and what the market is missing about GitLab's strategic value.
Polymarket is betting $29.6M on government alien disclosure. At 14% implied probability, the market says there's a 1-in-7 chance the US government officially confirms extraterrestrial life by end of 2026. Here's what drives that number.
Polymarket has $9.5M on Xi Jinping being removed from power before 2027. The market says 7% — that feels too low. Here's what's driving the YES bet, who is actually putting this money down, and what collapse looks like in real terms.
Live market analysis: Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?. Current odds: 0.0% Yes / 100.0% No on PolyMarket. $17.4M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?. Current odds: 8.6% Yes / 91.3% No on PolyMarket. $17.3M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election?. Current odds: 0.7% Yes / 99.4% No on PolyMarket. $3.5M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?. Current odds: 24.1% Yes / 75.9% No on PolyMarket. $25.1M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?. Current odds: 0.9% Yes / 99.2% No on PolyMarket. $3.4M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Jalen Brunson win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?. Current odds: 0.0% Yes / 100.0% No on PolyMarket. $1.3M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election. Current odds: 0.1% Yes / 99.9% No on PolyMarket. $3.4M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election. Current odds: 0.1% Yes / 99.9% No on PolyMarket. $3.5M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?. Current odds: 4.5% Yes / 95.5% No on PolyMarket. $394K in volume.
Live market analysis: Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?. Current odds: 1.1% Yes / 98.9% No on PolyMarket. $503K in volume.
Live market analysis: Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?. Current odds: 2.8% Yes / 97.2% No on PolyMarket. $3.4M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?. Current odds: 0.4% Yes / 99.6% No on PolyMarket. $452K in volume.
Live market analysis: Will the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship?. Current odds: 1.2% Yes / 98.8% No on PolyMarket. $1.3M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?. Current odds: 0.0% Yes / 100.0% No on PolyMarket. $1.4M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?. Current odds: 0.0% Yes / 100.0% No on PolyMarket. $20.1M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?. Current odds: 3.5% Yes / 96.5% No on PolyMarket. $591K in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?. Current odds: 2.5% Yes / 97.5% No on PolyMarket. $527K in volume.
Live market analysis: Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?. Current odds: 49.3% Yes / 50.7% No on PolyMarket. $4.1M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?. Current odds: 4.2% Yes / 95.9% No on PolyMarket. $469K in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?. Current odds: 9.2% Yes / 90.8% No on PolyMarket. $17.8M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?. Current odds: 0.1% Yes / 100.0% No on PolyMarket. $19.4M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?. Current odds: 0.1% Yes / 99.9% No on PolyMarket. $4.5M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?. Current odds: 3.5% Yes / 96.5% No on PolyMarket. $4.3M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?. Current odds: 0.5% Yes / 99.5% No on PolyMarket. $3.7M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?. Current odds: 3.6% Yes / 96.4% No on PolyMarket. $4.1M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Kawhi Leonard win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?. Current odds: 0.0% Yes / 100.0% No on PolyMarket. $1.6M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?. Current odds: 0.7% Yes / 99.4% No on PolyMarket. $3.5M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?. Current odds: 2.2% Yes / 97.8% No on PolyMarket. $4.3M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?. Current odds: 8.3% Yes / 91.6% No on PolyMarket. $18.9M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?. Current odds: 0.1% Yes / 100.0% No on PolyMarket. $4.1M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?. Current odds: 16.4% Yes / 83.7% No on PolyMarket. $19.8M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?. Current odds: 1.5% Yes / 98.6% No on PolyMarket. $19.1M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?. Current odds: 59.5% Yes / 40.5% No on PolyMarket. $11.4M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?. Current odds: 0.0% Yes / 100.0% No on PolyMarket. $1.9M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series?. Current odds: 2.5% Yes / 97.5% No on PolyMarket. $378K in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?. Current odds: 1.1% Yes / 99.0% No on PolyMarket. $4.0M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?. Current odds: 0.7% Yes / 99.4% No on PolyMarket. $3.6M in volume.
Live market analysis: US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?. Current odds: 0.0% Yes / 100.0% No on PolyMarket. $24.2M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?. Current odds: 0.0% Yes / 100.0% No on PolyMarket. $2.0M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Bitcoin hit $150k by September 30?. Current odds: 0.0% Yes / 100.0% No on PolyMarket. $779K in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?. Current odds: 2.6% Yes / 97.4% No on PolyMarket. $638K in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?. Current odds: 1.6% Yes / 98.5% No on PolyMarket. $1.0M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?. Current odds: 2.1% Yes / 98.0% No on PolyMarket. $1.1M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?. Current odds: 4.0% Yes / 96.0% No on PolyMarket. $754K in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?. Current odds: 0.0% Yes / 100.0% No on PolyMarket. $2.9M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?. Current odds: 0.0% Yes / 100.0% No on PolyMarket. $2.9M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?. Current odds: 0.1% Yes / 100.0% No on PolyMarket. $5.8M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?. Current odds: 0.9% Yes / 99.1% No on PolyMarket. $6.1M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?. Current odds: 0.9% Yes / 99.1% No on PolyMarket. $5.4M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?. Current odds: 0.7% Yes / 99.4% No on PolyMarket. $5.8M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?. Current odds: 0.3% Yes / 99.7% No on PolyMarket. $5.4M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?. Current odds: 0.9% Yes / 99.1% No on PolyMarket. $5.9M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?. Current odds: 0.4% Yes / 99.6% No on PolyMarket. $5.4M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Olympiakos win the 2025–26 Champions League?. Current odds: 0.0% Yes / 100.0% No on PolyMarket. $21.4M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Paolo Banchero win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?. Current odds: 0.0% Yes / 100.0% No on PolyMarket. $2.1M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?. Current odds: 0.7% Yes / 99.4% No on PolyMarket. $6.1M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?. Current odds: 0.7% Yes / 99.4% No on PolyMarket. $5.9M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?. Current odds: 0.1% Yes / 100.0% No on PolyMarket. $4.7M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?. Current odds: 1.6% Yes / 98.5% No on PolyMarket. $3.1M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?. Current odds: 1.1% Yes / 99.0% No on PolyMarket. $4.8M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?. Current odds: 7.0% Yes / 93.0% No on PolyMarket. $33.0M in volume.
Live market analysis: Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?. Current odds: 2.5% Yes / 97.5% No on PolyMarket. $1.6M in volume.
Live market analysis: US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?. Current odds: 0.0% Yes / 100.0% No on PolyMarket. $26.1M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?. Current odds: 0.0% Yes / 100.0% No on PolyMarket. $24.7M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31?. Current odds: 0.0% Yes / 100.0% No on PolyMarket. $1.6M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?. Current odds: 4.2% Yes / 95.8% No on PolyMarket. $1.6M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?. Current odds: 0.1% Yes / 100.0% No on PolyMarket. $7.5M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?. Current odds: 2.4% Yes / 97.7% No on PolyMarket. $7.9M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?. Current odds: 1.8% Yes / 98.2% No on PolyMarket. $7.9M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?. Current odds: 2.5% Yes / 97.5% No on PolyMarket. $7.8M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?. Current odds: 2.1% Yes / 98.0% No on PolyMarket. $6.6M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?. Current odds: 0.7% Yes / 99.4% No on PolyMarket. $7.5M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?. Current odds: 17.7% Yes / 82.3% No on PolyMarket. $24.9M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?. Current odds: 1.4% Yes / 98.7% No on PolyMarket. $7.1M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?. Current odds: 1.1% Yes / 99.0% No on PolyMarket. $7.1M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?. Current odds: 0.0% Yes / 100.0% No on PolyMarket. $3.1M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?. Current odds: 4.8% Yes / 95.2% No on PolyMarket. $7.9M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?. Current odds: 2.9% Yes / 97.0% No on PolyMarket. $6.3M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?. Current odds: 0.1% Yes / 99.9% No on PolyMarket. $6.3M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?. Current odds: 0.8% Yes / 99.2% No on PolyMarket. $6.4M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Stephen Curry win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?. Current odds: 0.0% Yes / 100.0% No on PolyMarket. $3.6M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?. Current odds: 1.4% Yes / 98.7% No on PolyMarket. $3.2M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?. Current odds: 4.9% Yes / 95.2% No on PolyMarket. $17.3M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?. Current odds: 0.2% Yes / 99.8% No on PolyMarket. $3.5M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?. Current odds: 17.2% Yes / 82.8% No on PolyMarket. $26.5M in volume.
Live market analysis: MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?. Current odds: 0.0% Yes / 100.0% No on PolyMarket. $2.7M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?. Current odds: 0.0% Yes / 100.0% No on PolyMarket. $32.3M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?. Current odds: 0.4% Yes / 99.7% No on PolyMarket. $2.2M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?. Current odds: 0.2% Yes / 99.8% No on PolyMarket. $8.0M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?. Current odds: 0.0% Yes / 100.0% No on PolyMarket. $6.0M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?. Current odds: 1.2% Yes / 98.8% No on PolyMarket. $9.1M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?. Current odds: 0.9% Yes / 99.1% No on PolyMarket. $10.2M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Ja Morant win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?. Current odds: 0.0% Yes / 100.0% No on PolyMarket. $5.8M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?. Current odds: 1.8% Yes / 98.2% No on PolyMarket. $9.1M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?. Current odds: 0.9% Yes / 99.2% No on PolyMarket. $8.6M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Joel Embiid win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?. Current odds: 0.0% Yes / 100.0% No on PolyMarket. $5.7M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?. Current odds: 0.9% Yes / 99.2% No on PolyMarket. $8.9M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?. Current odds: 0.9% Yes / 99.1% No on PolyMarket. $4.6M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?. Current odds: 4.8% Yes / 95.2% No on PolyMarket. $10.4M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?. Current odds: 1.8% Yes / 98.2% No on PolyMarket. $10.1M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?. Current odds: 0.9% Yes / 99.2% No on PolyMarket. $8.2M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Slavia Pragu win the 2025–26 Champions League?. Current odds: 0.0% Yes / 100.0% No on PolyMarket. $28.4M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?. Current odds: 0.2% Yes / 99.8% No on PolyMarket. $9.7M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?. Current odds: 0.0% Yes / 100.0% No on PolyMarket. $30.3M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Trae Young win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?. Current odds: 0.0% Yes / 100.0% No on PolyMarket. $6.0M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Trump visit China by March 31?. Current odds: 0.0% Yes / 100.0% No on PolyMarket. $10.4M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?. Current odds: 1.4% Yes / 98.6% No on PolyMarket. $5.0M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?. Current odds: 0.8% Yes / 99.2% No on PolyMarket. $8.9M in volume.
Live market analysis: Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?. Current odds: 0.0% Yes / 100.0% No on PolyMarket. $3.9M in volume.
Live market analysis: Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?. Current odds: 0.1% Yes / 99.9% No on PolyMarket. $37.2M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?. Current odds: 2.8% Yes / 97.2% No on PolyMarket. $11.8M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?. Current odds: 0.4% Yes / 99.7% No on PolyMarket. $7.8M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?. Current odds: 1.1% Yes / 99.0% No on PolyMarket. $11.7M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?. Current odds: 1.1% Yes / 98.9% No on PolyMarket. $11.5M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?. Current odds: 0.5% Yes / 99.5% No on PolyMarket. $11.0M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?. Current odds: 1.5% Yes / 98.6% No on PolyMarket. $11.5M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will LeBron James win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?. Current odds: 0.0% Yes / 100.0% No on PolyMarket. $7.3M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?. Current odds: 0.0% Yes / 100.0% No on PolyMarket. $38.4M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?. Current odds: 1.9% Yes / 98.1% No on PolyMarket. $11.2M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?. Current odds: 2.5% Yes / 97.5% No on PolyMarket. $13.1M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?. Current odds: 2.1% Yes / 98.0% No on PolyMarket. $10.6M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?. Current odds: 0.7% Yes / 99.4% No on PolyMarket. $7.9M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?. Current odds: 0.0% Yes / 100.0% No on PolyMarket. $8.2M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?. Current odds: 1.6% Yes / 98.5% No on PolyMarket. $3.7M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?. Current odds: 0.8% Yes / 99.2% No on PolyMarket. $3.5M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?. Current odds: 4.5% Yes / 95.5% No on PolyMarket. $38.1M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Trump visit China by April 30?. Current odds: 0.0% Yes / 100.0% No on PolyMarket. $12.8M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?. Current odds: 2.9% Yes / 97.2% No on PolyMarket. $11.0M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?. Current odds: 1.1% Yes / 98.9% No on PolyMarket. $12.1M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?. Current odds: 4.8% Yes / 95.2% No on PolyMarket. $4.7M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?. Current odds: 3.5% Yes / 96.5% No on PolyMarket. $4.9M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?. Current odds: 0.4% Yes / 99.7% No on PolyMarket. $9.3M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?. Current odds: 0.9% Yes / 99.2% No on PolyMarket. $16.1M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?. Current odds: 0.8% Yes / 99.2% No on PolyMarket. $15.0M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Devin Booker win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?. Current odds: 0.0% Yes / 100.0% No on PolyMarket. $10.2M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?. Current odds: 0.7% Yes / 99.4% No on PolyMarket. $16.1M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?. Current odds: 0.2% Yes / 99.8% No on PolyMarket. $11.1M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?. Current odds: 0.0% Yes / 100.0% No on PolyMarket. $8.7M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?. Current odds: 1.8% Yes / 98.2% No on PolyMarket. $14.1M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?. Current odds: 2.5% Yes / 97.5% No on PolyMarket. $14.9M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?. Current odds: 0.9% Yes / 99.1% No on PolyMarket. $14.7M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?. Current odds: 0.2% Yes / 99.8% No on PolyMarket. $11.1M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?. Current odds: 2.5% Yes / 97.5% No on PolyMarket. $13.4M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?. Current odds: 0.9% Yes / 99.2% No on PolyMarket. $14.3M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?. Current odds: 0.9% Yes / 99.2% No on PolyMarket. $16.4M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?. Current odds: 0.5% Yes / 99.5% No on PolyMarket. $4.9M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?. Current odds: 0.4% Yes / 99.7% No on PolyMarket. $5.0M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?. Current odds: 0.0% Yes / 100.0% No on PolyMarket. $8.7M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?. Current odds: 0.0% Yes / 100.0% No on PolyMarket. $8.7M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?. Current odds: 0.7% Yes / 99.4% No on PolyMarket. $8.5M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?. Current odds: 1.2% Yes / 98.8% No on PolyMarket. $14.7M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?. Current odds: 1.2% Yes / 98.8% No on PolyMarket. $15.8M in volume.
Live market analysis: MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?. Current odds: 0.0% Yes / 100.0% No on PolyMarket. $18.0M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?. Current odds: 1.7% Yes / 98.4% No on PolyMarket. $18.1M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?. Current odds: 1.7% Yes / 98.4% No on PolyMarket. $14.3M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?. Current odds: 0.9% Yes / 99.2% No on PolyMarket. $18.7M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?. Current odds: 0.9% Yes / 99.1% No on PolyMarket. $19.2M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?. Current odds: 0.9% Yes / 99.2% No on PolyMarket. $18.6M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?. Current odds: 0.1% Yes / 99.9% No on PolyMarket. $18.6M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?. Current odds: 0.9% Yes / 99.1% No on PolyMarket. $21.5M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?. Current odds: 0.8% Yes / 99.2% No on PolyMarket. $18.1M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?. Current odds: 1.1% Yes / 99.0% No on PolyMarket. $17.7M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?. Current odds: 1.1% Yes / 99.0% No on PolyMarket. $20.0M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?. Current odds: 0.8% Yes / 99.2% No on PolyMarket. $20.2M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?. Current odds: 0.9% Yes / 99.1% No on PolyMarket. $14.5M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?. Current odds: 0.0% Yes / 100.0% No on PolyMarket. $13.4M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?. Current odds: 2.5% Yes / 97.5% No on PolyMarket. $12.1M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals?. Current odds: 0.0% Yes / 100.0% No on PolyMarket. $11.4M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?. Current odds: 0.0% Yes / 100.0% No on PolyMarket. $13.4M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?. Current odds: 1.8% Yes / 98.2% No on PolyMarket. $14.2M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?. Current odds: 0.8% Yes / 99.2% No on PolyMarket. $19.2M in volume.
Live market analysis: Netanyahu out by March 31?. Current odds: 0.0% Yes / 100.0% No on PolyMarket. $104.2M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?. Current odds: 0.7% Yes / 99.4% No on PolyMarket. $16.2M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?. Current odds: 1.9% Yes / 98.0% No on PolyMarket. $15.1M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?. Current odds: 0.0% Yes / 100.0% No on PolyMarket. $91.3M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?. Current odds: 0.2% Yes / 99.8% No on PolyMarket. $14.6M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?. Current odds: 0.9% Yes / 99.1% No on PolyMarket. $23.8M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?. Current odds: 0.9% Yes / 99.2% No on PolyMarket. $24.4M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?. Current odds: 0.9% Yes / 99.1% No on PolyMarket. $23.6M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?. Current odds: 0.2% Yes / 99.8% No on PolyMarket. $16.4M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?. Current odds: 0.8% Yes / 99.2% No on PolyMarket. $23.6M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?. Current odds: 0.1% Yes / 99.9% No on PolyMarket. $16.5M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?. Current odds: 1.7% Yes / 98.4% No on PolyMarket. $61.9M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?. Current odds: 2.1% Yes / 97.9% No on PolyMarket. $22.7M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?. Current odds: 0.0% Yes / 100.0% No on PolyMarket. $15.4M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?. Current odds: 1.1% Yes / 99.0% No on PolyMarket. $24.1M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?. Current odds: 3.4% Yes / 96.7% No on PolyMarket. $16.7M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?. Current odds: 0.9% Yes / 99.2% No on PolyMarket. $23.6M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?. Current odds: 2.2% Yes / 97.8% No on PolyMarket. $15.1M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?. Current odds: 0.8% Yes / 99.2% No on PolyMarket. $15.6M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?. Current odds: 0.0% Yes / 100.0% No on PolyMarket. $15.5M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?. Current odds: 0.0% Yes / 100.0% No on PolyMarket. $14.8M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?. Current odds: 0.0% Yes / 100.0% No on PolyMarket. $15.4M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?. Current odds: 0.9% Yes / 99.2% No on PolyMarket. $16.4M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?. Current odds: 1.1% Yes / 99.0% No on PolyMarket. $15.9M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?. Current odds: 1.1% Yes / 99.0% No on PolyMarket. $17.9M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?. Current odds: 0.8% Yes / 99.2% No on PolyMarket. $19.0M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?. Current odds: 1.1% Yes / 99.0% No on PolyMarket. $27.3M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?. Current odds: 0.4% Yes / 99.6% No on PolyMarket. $19.3M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?. Current odds: 2.1% Yes / 97.9% No on PolyMarket. $18.8M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?. Current odds: 0.8% Yes / 99.2% No on PolyMarket. $24.8M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?. Current odds: 0.8% Yes / 99.2% No on PolyMarket. $27.2M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?. Current odds: 0.8% Yes / 99.2% No on PolyMarket. $26.7M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?. Current odds: 1.1% Yes / 99.0% No on PolyMarket. $17.1M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?. Current odds: 1.7% Yes / 98.4% No on PolyMarket. $18.5M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?. Current odds: 0.4% Yes / 99.7% No on PolyMarket. $17.8M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?. Current odds: 0.4% Yes / 99.7% No on PolyMarket. $17.0M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?. Current odds: 0.0% Yes / 100.0% No on PolyMarket. $17.6M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?. Current odds: 0.0% Yes / 100.0% No on PolyMarket. $17.6M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?. Current odds: 0.4% Yes / 99.7% No on PolyMarket. $19.8M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?. Current odds: 0.2% Yes / 99.8% No on PolyMarket. $21.0M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?. Current odds: 0.8% Yes / 99.2% No on PolyMarket. $29.2M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?. Current odds: 1.4% Yes / 98.7% No on PolyMarket. $15.7M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?. Current odds: 0.7% Yes / 99.4% No on PolyMarket. $20.6M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?. Current odds: 0.2% Yes / 99.8% No on PolyMarket. $20.7M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?. Current odds: 0.4% Yes / 99.6% No on PolyMarket. $21.3M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?. Current odds: 0.7% Yes / 99.4% No on PolyMarket. $31.1M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?. Current odds: 0.1% Yes / 99.9% No on PolyMarket. $22.3M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?. Current odds: 0.5% Yes / 99.5% No on PolyMarket. $31.3M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?. Current odds: 0.2% Yes / 99.8% No on PolyMarket. $22.3M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?. Current odds: 0.8% Yes / 99.2% No on PolyMarket. $28.3M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?. Current odds: 1.1% Yes / 98.9% No on PolyMarket. $28.7M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?. Current odds: 0.8% Yes / 99.2% No on PolyMarket. $30.3M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?. Current odds: 0.4% Yes / 99.6% No on PolyMarket. $21.6M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?. Current odds: 0.9% Yes / 99.1% No on PolyMarket. $30.8M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?. Current odds: 0.0% Yes / 100.0% No on PolyMarket. $20.4M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?. Current odds: 2.9% Yes / 97.2% No on PolyMarket. $20.6M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?. Current odds: 0.0% Yes / 100.0% No on PolyMarket. $9.2M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?. Current odds: 0.8% Yes / 99.2% No on PolyMarket. $30.0M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?. Current odds: 0.8% Yes / 99.2% No on PolyMarket. $29.7M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?. Current odds: 0.4% Yes / 99.7% No on PolyMarket. $20.0M in volume.
Beto O'Rourke at 0.7% for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination. Another long-shot candidate priced for near-zero on PolyMarket. Here's the case for and against.
Live market analysis: Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?. Current odds: 0.9% Yes / 99.1% No on PolyMarket. $32.7M in volume.
Hunter Biden at 0.7% for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination. $34M in volume says the market thinks it's almost over. Here's the contrarian take.
Live market analysis: Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?. Current odds: 0.9% Yes / 99.2% No on PolyMarket. $32.4M in volume.
Live market analysis: Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?. Current odds: 0.2% Yes / 99.8% No on PolyMarket. $23.8M in volume.
Kim Kardashian 2028? 0.7% for the presidency on PolyMarket. The market gives her almost no shot. But $34M in volume means someone's willing to back the long-shot.
Live market analysis: Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?. Current odds: 0.7% Yes / 99.4% No on PolyMarket. $32.5M in volume.
Liz Cheney running as a Democrat? 0.8% on PolyMarket. The political logic is twisted. Here's why some traders see value on the long-shot.
MrBeast for President? 0.8% on PolyMarket. The world's biggest YouTuber has the reach — but does he have the political will? Here's the market's take.
New Zealand to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup. 0.1% on PolyMarket. Here's why the market gives the All Whites almost no shot at the biggest prize in football.
Phil Murphy at 0.8% for the 2028 Democratic nomination. The New Jersey governor has been quietly building credibility. Here's what the market is pricing in.
Saudi Arabia spending billions on football — but can they win the 2026 World Cup? 0.2% on PolyMarket. Here's why the market isn't buying the investment thesis yet.
South Africa at 0.2% to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup. The lowest odds of any contender on PolyMarket. Here's why the market thinks it's basically over for the Springboks.
Chicago Bulls 2026 NBA Finals? The market says it's not happening. But with a young core developing, some traders see a path. Here's the full market analysis.
Portland Trail Blazers to win the 2026 NBA Championship. A massive long-shot at 0.1%. Here's why the market thinks it's essentially impossible — and whether the odds have any value at all.
Live market analysis: Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?. Current odds: 0.7% Yes / 99.4% No on PolyMarket. $32.4M in volume.
Zohran Mamdani as Democratic nominee? A relatively unknown candidate with tiny odds. Here's what the market is pricing in for this long-shot.
Andrew Yang at 0.7% for the 2028 Democratic nomination — another long-shot candidate on PolyMarket. Here's what the odds are actually saying and whether the market has it wrong.
Bernie Sanders running again? The market gives him just 0.5% for the 2028 Democratic nomination. Here's what that price reveals about his political future.
Byron Donalds at 0.7% for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination. The market is pricing him as a extreme long-shot. Here's what traders are missing — or not.
Chelsea Clinton at 0.9% for the 2028 Democratic nomination. Another famous name with tiny odds on PolyMarket. Here's the contrarian case — and why the market might be right.
Curaçao at 0.2% to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup. A tiny Caribbean nation against the giants of international football. Here's why some traders think that price is too generous.
George Clooney at 0.7% for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination. Hollywood star meets political long-shot. Here's what the odds tell us.
Hillary Clinton running again? 0.7% on PolyMarket says it's a long-shot. But with $40M already bet, the market has strong opinions on her political future.
Kim Kardashian for President? 0.7% on PolyMarket says don't bet on it. But in a chaotic political landscape, celebrity and money talk. Here's the market's honest verdict.
LeBron James for President? 0.8% on PolyMarket says it's a fantasy. Here's why the market thinks it's not happening — and who might actually be backing him.
LeBron James 2028 Presidential run? The market gives it 0.7%. $49M in volume, strong opinions both ways. Here's the full analysis.
Mike Pence at 0.7% for the 2028 Republican nomination. The former VP has a complicated relationship with his own party. Here's what the market is pricing in.
Oprah 2028? 0.7% for the Democratic nomination. She has the fame, the money, and the base. Here's what the market says she's missing.
Charlotte Hornets to win the 2026 NBA Finals? The market gives them almost no shot. But in a league where anything can happen in the playoffs, here's the contrarian case some traders are making.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander just won MVP. The Thunder are 65.5% to win the West. Here's why the market might still be underpricing them — and where the real risk is.
Tim Walz at 0.8% for the 2028 Democratic nomination. The VP candidate has higher name recognition than most. Here's why the market still says it's a long-shot.
Tim Walz for President in 2028? The market gives it barely a pulse. Here's what traders are betting on — and what's holding him back.
USA to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup. The USMNT hosting a World Cup — what are the actual odds? Here's what $25M in volume says.
Uzbekistan to win the 2026 World Cup? 0.1% on PolyMarket. The Central Asian nation is an extreme long-shot. Here's the contrarian case — if there is one.
Arsenal at roughly 50/50 to win the Premier League — the tightest title odds on PolyMarket's soccer markets. This is where the real money moves. Here's why the odds are finely balanced and who holds the edge.
Bitcoin above $100K by end of 2026. This was the magic number for years — the psychological ceiling that kept getting pushed back. Now it's close. The market says it's more likely than not. Here's what that price is actually telling you.
Eric Trump at 0.65% for winning the 2028 Presidential Election. The market is saying it's almost impossible. But in prediction markets, 'almost impossible' can sometimes be exactly wrong.
Gretchen Whitmer sits at just 1.35% for the 2028 Democratic nomination. The market says it's essentially over before it started. Here's why that price might be wrong — and why it might be right.
Netanyahu at ~40% to leave office before 2027. In Israeli politics, that's either a political assassination, an election loss, or a health event. The market is pricing real uncertainty — here's why.
Spain sits at 15.25% to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup despite being one of Europe's strongest sides. With $178.5M in the Spain-specific market, the odds are tighter than you'd think.
The Thunder sit at 55.5% — the single highest yes-price on any major PolyMarket futures market right now. That's not a prediction, that's a near-consensus. Is it right?